Hurricane Season in St. Lucia: Storm Odds by Month

Quick answer: St. Lucia’s hurricane season runs June 1 to November 30. In the last 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles in 21 of 50 seasons, most often in August (10 of 50 seasons), and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 4 of 50 seasons. Storms come early here too: Elsa (2021) passed as a hurricane within 50 miles on July 2.

Pick where you are going and when. See in how many of the last 50 hurricane seasons a tropical storm or hurricane came within 100 miles on those dates, and which nearby weeks were calmer.

days

The year does not matter: this is what happened on these dates in each of the last 50 seasons.

Key West · Sep 10–16

2 of 50 seasonsA tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Key West on these dates in 2 of the 50 seasons 1976–2025: 4%.

Within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 100 miles
1 of 50
  • Safest dates within 4 weeks: Oct 1–7 (0 of 50 seasons), 3 weeks later.
  • Storms on these dates: Sally 2020, Irma 2017.
  • In 1976–2025, storms came within 100 miles of Key West between Jul 6 and Nov 19.

Historical frequency from NOAA’s best tracks for 1976–2025, not a forecast. For storms this season, see the National Hurricane Center.

The tool above opens on St. Lucia for September 10–16: change the dates to yours. Below, St. Lucia’s whole record, 1976–2025.

Hurricane season in St. Lucia, month by month

In how many of the 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles at some point in that month.

MonthStorm within 100 miWithin 50 miHurricane within 50 mi
June220
July221
August1072
September840
October321
November000

The other three hurricanes within 50 miles: Allen (1980), Dean (2007) and Tomas (2010).

The busiest week

St. Lucia: Jul 30 – Aug 5, when a storm came within 100 miles in 4 of 50 seasons (1 other week ties). The chart in the tool shows all 52 weeks.

Every storm within 100 miles since 1976 (26)

StormWithin 100 milesClosest
Bret (2023)Jun 22–23a tropical storm within 50 miles
Tammy (2023)Oct 21a hurricane within 100 miles
Elsa (2021)Jul 2a hurricane within 50 miles
Dorian (2019)Aug 27a tropical storm within 50 miles
Isaac (2018)Sep 13a tropical storm within 100 miles
Kirk (2018)Sep 27–28a tropical storm within 50 miles
Harvey (2017)Aug 18a tropical storm within 100 miles
Maria (2017)Sep 18–19a hurricane within 100 miles
Matthew (2016)Sep 28a tropical storm within 50 miles
Bertha (2014)Aug 1a tropical storm within 50 miles
Chantal (2013)Jul 9a tropical storm within 50 miles
Ernesto (2012)Aug 3a tropical storm within 50 miles
Emily (2011)Aug 2a tropical storm within 100 miles
Tomas (2010)Oct 30–31a hurricane within 50 miles
Dean (2007)Aug 17a hurricane within 50 miles
Lili (2002)Sep 23a tropical storm within 100 miles
Jerry (2001)Oct 7–8a tropical storm within 50 miles
Iris (1995)Aug 25–27a tropical storm within 50 miles
Marilyn (1995)Sep 14a hurricane within 100 miles
Debby (1994)Sep 9–10a tropical storm within 50 miles
Cindy (1993)Aug 14a tropical storm within 50 miles
Gilbert (1988)Sep 9–10a tropical storm within 50 miles
Emily (1987)Sep 21a tropical storm within 100 miles
Allen (1980)Aug 4a hurricane within 50 miles
Ana (1979)Jun 22–23a tropical storm within 50 miles
David (1979)Aug 29a hurricane within 100 miles

When the season runs

St. Lucia is in the Atlantic basin, whose hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 (source). The season is when storms are likely, not the only time they can form: the table above counts every storm, whenever it came.

Plan it

FAQ

When is hurricane season in St. Lucia?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, peaking around September 10. In 50 seasons (1976–2025), the storms that came within 100 miles of St. Lucia did so between June 22 and October 31, most often in August.

Does St. Lucia get hurricanes?

Yes. In 50 seasons, a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of St. Lucia in 21, and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 4: Elsa (2021), Tomas (2010), Dean (2007) and Allen (1980).

What is the worst month for hurricanes in St. Lucia?

August: a storm came within 100 miles in 10 of the 50 seasons, then September with 8.

What is the safest time to visit St. Lucia in hurricane season?

Within the season, November: no storm came within 100 miles in any of the 50 seasons. Outside June 1 to November 30, no storm came near at all.

How these numbers are made

From NOAA’s best tracks (HURDAT2), every storm’s centre is followed hour by hour and measured against each place; a season counts once it had a tropical storm or hurricane within 100 miles (or 50) on at least one day. It is history, not a forecast: for a storm that exists today, read the National Hurricane Center.

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