Hurricane Season in Cabo San Lucas: Storm Odds by Month
Quick answer: Cabo’s hurricane season is the eastern Pacific’s, May 15 to November 30, and it is the busiest place in our records: in the last 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Cabo San Lucas in 37 of 50 seasons, 24 of 50 seasons in September alone. A hurricane came within 50 miles in 13 of 50 seasons.
Pick where you are going and when. See in how many of the last 50 hurricane seasons a tropical storm or hurricane came within 100 miles on those dates, and which nearby weeks were calmer.
Key West · Sep 10–16
2 of 50 seasonsA tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Key West on these dates in 2 of the 50 seasons 1976–2025: 4%.
- Within 50 miles
- 1 of 50
- A hurricane within 50 miles
- 1 of 50
- A hurricane within 100 miles
- 1 of 50
- Safest dates within 4 weeks: Oct 1–7 (0 of 50 seasons), 3 weeks later.
- Storms on these dates: Sally 2020, Irma 2017.
- In 1976–2025, storms came within 100 miles of Key West between Jul 6 and Nov 19.
Historical frequency from NOAA’s best tracks for 1976–2025, not a forecast. For storms this season, see the National Hurricane Center.
The tool above opens on Cabo San Lucas for September 10–16: change the dates to yours, or pick San José del Cabo. Below, Cabo San Lucas’s whole record, 1976–2025.
Place by place
| Place | Storm within 100 mi | Hurricane within 50 mi | Busiest week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo San Lucas | 37 of 50 seasons | 13 of 50 seasons | Sep 3–9 (7) |
| San José del Cabo | 36 of 50 seasons | 14 of 50 seasons | Sep 3–9 (6) |
Hurricane season in Cabo San Lucas, month by month
In how many of the 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of each place at some point in that month.
| Month | Cabo San Lucas | San José del Cabo | Any of them |
|---|---|---|---|
| May | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| June | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| July | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| August | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| September | 24 | 23 | 24 |
| October | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| November | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Odile (2014) passed as a hurricane within 50 miles on September 14, and Norma (2023) did the same on October 21. San José del Cabo, 20 miles up the coast, has almost the same record.
The busiest week
Cabo San Lucas: Sep 3–9, when a storm came within 100 miles in 7 of 50 seasons (1 other week ties). San José del Cabo: Sep 3–9, when a storm came within 100 miles in 6 of 50 seasons (2 other weeks tie). The chart in the tool shows all 52 weeks.
Every storm within 100 miles since 1976 (54)
| Storm | Within 100 miles | Closest | Near |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ileana (2024) | Sep 13–14 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Norma (2023) | Oct 21–22 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Enrique (2021) | Jun 29–30 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Olaf (2021) | Sep 9–10 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Genevieve (2020) | Aug 19–20 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Lorena (2019) | Sep 20–21 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Bud (2018) | Jun 14–15 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Lidia (2017) | Aug 31 – Sep 1 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Javier (2016) | Aug 8–9 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Newton (2016) | Sep 6 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Blanca (2015) | Jun 8 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Norbert (2014) | Sep 5 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas |
| Odile (2014) | Sep 14–15 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Polo (2014) | Sep 21 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas |
| Erick (2013) | Jul 8–9 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Juliette (2013) | Aug 28–29 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Lorena (2013) | Sep 6–7 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Sonia (2013) | Nov 3–4 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Norman (2012) | Sep 28 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Georgette (2010) | Sep 21 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Patricia (2009) | Oct 13–14 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Julio (2008) | Aug 24–25 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Henriette (2007) | Sep 4–5 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| John (2006) | Sep 1–2 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Paul (2006) | Oct 25 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Ignacio (2003) | Aug 23–25 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Marty (2003) | Sep 22 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Juliette (2001) | Sep 27–29 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Ileana (2000) | Aug 15 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Greg (1999) | Sep 6–8 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Isis (1998) | Sep 2 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Fausto (1996) | Sep 13–14 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Flossie (1995) | Aug 11 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas |
| Henriette (1995) | Sep 4 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Ismael (1995) | Sep 14 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Calvin (1993) | Jul 8 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Hilary (1993) | Aug 24 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas |
| Lidia (1993) | Sep 12–13 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Rachel (1990) | Oct 2 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Kiko (1989) | Aug 26–28 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Pilar (1987) | Oct 1 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Newton (1986) | Sep 22–23 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Paine (1986) | Oct 1–2 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Waldo (1985) | Oct 8–9 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Genevieve (1984) | Jul 12–13 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Paul (1982) | Sep 29–30 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Knut (1981) | Sep 21 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Lidia (1981) | Oct 7 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Guillermo (1979) | Sep 12 | a hurricane within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas |
| Paul (1978) | Sep 25–26 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Rosa (1978) | Oct 5–6 | a tropical storm within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Doreen (1977) | Aug 15 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Liza (1976) | Sep 30 – Oct 1 | a hurricane within 50 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
| Naomi (1976) | Oct 29 | a tropical storm within 100 miles | Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo |
When the season runs
Cabo San Lucas is in the eastern Pacific basin, whose hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30 (source). The season is when storms are likely, not the only time they can form: the table above counts every storm, whenever it came.
Plan it
- Unusual things to do in Cabo San Lucas
- Things to do in Todos Santos
- Cabo Pulmo: things to do
- Hurricane risk for your exact dates in Cabo San Lucas
- Cabo San Lucas’s weather, month by month
FAQ
When is hurricane season in Cabo San Lucas?
The eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to November 30. In 50 seasons (1976–2025), the storms that came within 100 miles of Cabo San Lucas or San José del Cabo did so between June 8 and November 4, most often in September.
Does Cabo San Lucas get hurricanes?
Yes. In 50 seasons, a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Cabo San Lucas or San José del Cabo in 37, and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 16: Norma (2023), Olaf (2021), Lorena (2019), Newton (2016) and 12 more.
What is the worst month for hurricanes in Cabo San Lucas?
September: a storm came within 100 miles in 24 of the 50 seasons, then August with 11.
What is the safest time to visit Cabo San Lucas in hurricane season?
Within the season, May: no storm came within 100 miles in any of the 50 seasons. Outside May 15 to November 30, no storm came near at all.
How these numbers are made
From NOAA’s best tracks (HURDAT2), every storm’s centre is followed hour by hour and measured against each place; a season counts once it had a tropical storm or hurricane within 100 miles (or 50) on at least one day. It is history, not a forecast: for a storm that exists today, read the National Hurricane Center.