Hurricane Season in Belize: Storm Odds by Month

Quick answer: Belize’s hurricane season runs June 1 to November 30. In the last 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Ambergris Caye or Placencia in 18 of 50 seasons; August (8 of 50 seasons), September (6 of 50 seasons) and October (7 of 50 seasons) are the busy months, and November still had 2 of 50 seasons.

Pick where you are going and when. See in how many of the last 50 hurricane seasons a tropical storm or hurricane came within 100 miles on those dates, and which nearby weeks were calmer.

days

The year does not matter: this is what happened on these dates in each of the last 50 seasons.

Key West · Sep 10–16

2 of 50 seasonsA tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Key West on these dates in 2 of the 50 seasons 1976–2025: 4%.

Within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 100 miles
1 of 50
  • Safest dates within 4 weeks: Oct 1–7 (0 of 50 seasons), 3 weeks later.
  • Storms on these dates: Sally 2020, Irma 2017.
  • In 1976–2025, storms came within 100 miles of Key West between Jul 6 and Nov 19.

Historical frequency from NOAA’s best tracks for 1976–2025, not a forecast. For storms this season, see the National Hurricane Center.

The tool above opens on Ambergris Caye (San Pedro) for September 10–16: change the dates to yours, or pick Placencia. Below, Belize’s whole record, 1976–2025.

Place by place

PlaceStorm within 100 miHurricane within 50 miBusiest week
Ambergris Caye (San Pedro)18 of 50 seasons4 of 50 seasonsAug 20–26 (4)
Placencia13 of 50 seasons4 of 50 seasonsSep 17–23 (3)

Hurricane season in Belize, month by month

In how many of the 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of each place at some point in that month.

MonthAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)PlacenciaAny of them
May111
June212
July000
August828
September656
October657
November222

Iris (2001) passed within 50 miles of Placencia as a hurricane in October, and Lisa (2022) did the same at Ambergris Caye in November. Arthur (2008) came on May 31, before the season had begun.

The busiest week

Ambergris Caye (San Pedro): Aug 20–26, when a storm came within 100 miles in 4 of 50 seasons. Placencia: Sep 17–23, when a storm came within 100 miles in 3 of 50 seasons. The chart in the tool shows all 52 weeks.

Every storm within 100 miles since 1976 (25)

StormWithin 100 milesClosestNear
Nadine (2024)Oct 19a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Sara (2024)Nov 16–17a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Lisa (2022)Nov 2–3a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Nana (2020)Sep 3a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Michael (2018)Oct 7a tropical storm within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Franklin (2017)Aug 8a tropical storm within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Earl (2016)Aug 4a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Ernesto (2012)Aug 7–8a hurricane within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Harvey (2011)Aug 20–21a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Rina (2011)Oct 27a hurricane within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Alex (2010)Jun 26–27a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Karl (2010)Sep 15a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Matthew (2010)Sep 25a tropical storm within 50 milesPlacencia
Richard (2010)Oct 24–25a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Arthur (2008)May 31 – Jun 1a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Dean (2007)Aug 21a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Chantal (2001)Aug 20–21a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Iris (2001)Oct 8–9a hurricane within 50 milesPlacencia
Keith (2000)Sep 30 – Oct 3a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Dolly (1996)Aug 20–21a hurricane within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Kyle (1996)Oct 11–12a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Gert (1993)Sep 17–18a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Diana (1990)Aug 5a tropical storm within 100 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro)
Hermine (1980)Sep 22a tropical storm within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia
Greta (1978)Sep 18–19a hurricane within 50 milesAmbergris Caye (San Pedro) and Placencia

When the season runs

Belize is in the Atlantic basin, whose hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 (source). The season is when storms are likely, not the only time they can form: the table above counts every storm, whenever it came.

Plan it

FAQ

When is hurricane season in Belize?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, peaking around September 10. In 50 seasons (1976–2025), the storms that came within 100 miles of Ambergris Caye (San Pedro) or Placencia did so between May 31 and November 17, most often in August.

Does Belize get hurricanes?

Yes. In 50 seasons, a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Ambergris Caye (San Pedro) or Placencia in 18, and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 8: Lisa (2022), Nana (2020), Earl (2016), Richard (2010) and 4 more.

What is the worst month for hurricanes in Belize?

August: a storm came within 100 miles in 8 of the 50 seasons, then October with 7.

What is the safest time to visit Belize in hurricane season?

Within the season, July: no storm came within 100 miles in any of the 50 seasons. Outside June 1 to November 30, storms were rarer still.

How these numbers are made

From NOAA’s best tracks (HURDAT2), every storm’s centre is followed hour by hour and measured against each place; a season counts once it had a tropical storm or hurricane within 100 miles (or 50) on at least one day. It is history, not a forecast: for a storm that exists today, read the National Hurricane Center.

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