Hurricane Season in Aruba: Storm Odds by Month

Quick answer: Aruba sits south of where most Atlantic storms track, so hurricane season (June 1 to November 30) rarely touches it: in the last 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles in 8 of 50 seasons, and a hurricane within 50 miles only once, Felix (2007) on September 2.

Pick where you are going and when. See in how many of the last 50 hurricane seasons a tropical storm or hurricane came within 100 miles on those dates, and which nearby weeks were calmer.

days

The year does not matter: this is what happened on these dates in each of the last 50 seasons.

Key West · Sep 10–16

2 of 50 seasonsA tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Key West on these dates in 2 of the 50 seasons 1976–2025: 4%.

Within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 100 miles
1 of 50
  • Safest dates within 4 weeks: Oct 1–7 (0 of 50 seasons), 3 weeks later.
  • Storms on these dates: Sally 2020, Irma 2017.
  • In 1976–2025, storms came within 100 miles of Key West between Jul 6 and Nov 19.

Historical frequency from NOAA’s best tracks for 1976–2025, not a forecast. For storms this season, see the National Hurricane Center.

The tool above opens on Aruba for September 10–16: change the dates to yours. Below, Aruba’s whole record, 1976–2025.

Hurricane season in Aruba, month by month

In how many of the 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles at some point in that month.

MonthStorm within 100 miWithin 50 miHurricane within 50 mi
June110
July110
August000
September421
October110
November100

The other seven: Greta (1978), Joan (1988), Cesar (1996), Ivan (2004), Tomas (2010), Matthew (2016) and Bret (2023).

The busiest week

Aruba: no week stands out — no week of the year had a storm within 100 miles in more than 1 of 50 seasons. The chart in the tool shows all 52 weeks.

Every storm within 100 miles since 1976 (8)

StormWithin 100 milesClosest
Bret (2023)Jun 24a tropical storm within 50 miles
Matthew (2016)Sep 30a hurricane within 100 miles
Tomas (2010)Nov 1–2a tropical storm within 100 miles
Felix (2007)Sep 2a hurricane within 50 miles
Ivan (2004)Sep 9a hurricane within 100 miles
Cesar (1996)Jul 25–26a tropical storm within 50 miles
Joan (1988)Oct 16–17a tropical storm within 50 miles
Greta (1978)Sep 14–15a tropical storm within 50 miles

When the season runs

Aruba is in the Atlantic basin, whose hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 (source). The season is when storms are likely, not the only time they can form: the table above counts every storm, whenever it came.

Plan it

FAQ

When is hurricane season in Aruba?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, peaking around September 10. In 50 seasons (1976–2025), the storms that came within 100 miles of Aruba did so between June 24 and November 2, most often in September.

Does Aruba get hurricanes?

Rarely. In 50 seasons, a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Aruba in 8, and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 1: Felix (2007).

What is the worst month for hurricanes in Aruba?

September: a storm came within 100 miles in 4 of the 50 seasons, then June with 1.

What is the safest time to visit Aruba in hurricane season?

Within the season, August: no storm came within 100 miles in any of the 50 seasons. Outside June 1 to November 30, no storm came near at all.

How these numbers are made

From NOAA’s best tracks (HURDAT2), every storm’s centre is followed hour by hour and measured against each place; a season counts once it had a tropical storm or hurricane within 100 miles (or 50) on at least one day. It is history, not a forecast: for a storm that exists today, read the National Hurricane Center.

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