Hurricane Season in Antigua: Storm Odds by Month

Quick answer: Antigua’s hurricane season runs June 1 to November 30 and peaks in September: in the last 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles in 12 of 50 seasons in September, and in 23 of 50 seasons over the year. A hurricane came within 50 miles in 10 of 50 seasons, one of the highest counts in the Caribbean.

Pick where you are going and when. See in how many of the last 50 hurricane seasons a tropical storm or hurricane came within 100 miles on those dates, and which nearby weeks were calmer.

days

The year does not matter: this is what happened on these dates in each of the last 50 seasons.

Key West · Sep 10–16

2 of 50 seasonsA tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Key West on these dates in 2 of the 50 seasons 1976–2025: 4%.

Within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 50 miles
1 of 50
A hurricane within 100 miles
1 of 50
  • Safest dates within 4 weeks: Oct 1–7 (0 of 50 seasons), 3 weeks later.
  • Storms on these dates: Sally 2020, Irma 2017.
  • In 1976–2025, storms came within 100 miles of Key West between Jul 6 and Nov 19.

Historical frequency from NOAA’s best tracks for 1976–2025, not a forecast. For storms this season, see the National Hurricane Center.

The tool above opens on Antigua for September 10–16: change the dates to yours. Below, Antigua’s whole record, 1976–2025.

Hurricane season in Antigua, month by month

In how many of the 50 seasons a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles at some point in that month.

MonthStorm within 100 miWithin 50 miHurricane within 50 mi
June000
July211
August961
September1264
October544
November110

September 2017 brought Irma (2017), Jose (2017) and Maria (2017) within two weeks, on September 5, September 9 and September 19.

The busiest week

Antigua: Sep 3–9, when a storm came within 100 miles in 6 of 50 seasons. The chart in the tool shows all 52 weeks.

Every storm within 100 miles since 1976 (33)

StormWithin 100 milesClosest
Jerry (2025)Oct 9–10a tropical storm within 100 miles
Ernesto (2024)Aug 13a tropical storm within 50 miles
Philippe (2023)Oct 2–3a tropical storm within 50 miles
Tammy (2023)Oct 21–22a hurricane within 50 miles
Fiona (2022)Sep 16–17a tropical storm within 100 miles
Laura (2020)Aug 21–22a tropical storm within 50 miles
Irma (2017)Sep 5–6a hurricane within 50 miles
Jose (2017)Sep 9a hurricane within 100 miles
Maria (2017)Sep 19a hurricane within 100 miles
Erika (2015)Aug 27a tropical storm within 50 miles
Gonzalo (2014)Oct 13a hurricane within 50 miles
Isaac (2012)Aug 22–23a tropical storm within 100 miles
Irene (2011)Aug 21a tropical storm within 50 miles
Maria (2011)Sep 10–11a tropical storm within 50 miles
Earl (2010)Aug 30a hurricane within 100 miles
Fiona (2010)Sep 1a tropical storm within 100 miles
Erika (2009)Sep 2–3a tropical storm within 100 miles
Chris (2006)Aug 1–2a tropical storm within 100 miles
Jeanne (2004)Sep 14a tropical storm within 100 miles
Debby (2000)Aug 22a hurricane within 50 miles
Jose (1999)Oct 20–21a hurricane within 50 miles
Lenny (1999)Nov 19–20a hurricane within 100 miles
Georges (1998)Sep 21a hurricane within 50 miles
Bertha (1996)Jul 8a hurricane within 50 miles
Hortense (1996)Sep 7–8a tropical storm within 100 miles
Iris (1995)Aug 27–28a tropical storm within 50 miles
Luis (1995)Sep 5a hurricane within 50 miles
Marilyn (1995)Sep 14–15a hurricane within 100 miles
Klaus (1990)Oct 4–6a hurricane within 50 miles
Hugo (1989)Sep 17a hurricane within 50 miles
Gert (1981)Sep 8a tropical storm within 100 miles
Claudette (1979)Jul 17a tropical storm within 100 miles
Frederic (1979)Sep 3a tropical storm within 50 miles

When the season runs

Antigua is in the Atlantic basin, whose hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30 (source). The season is when storms are likely, not the only time they can form: the table above counts every storm, whenever it came.

Plan it

FAQ

When is hurricane season in Antigua?

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30, peaking around September 10. In 50 seasons (1976–2025), the storms that came within 100 miles of Antigua did so between July 8 and November 20, most often in September.

Does Antigua get hurricanes?

Yes. In 50 seasons, a tropical storm or hurricane passed within 100 miles of Antigua in 23, and a hurricane came within 50 miles in 10: Tammy (2023), Irma (2017), Gonzalo (2014), Debby (2000) and 6 more.

What is the worst month for hurricanes in Antigua?

September: a storm came within 100 miles in 12 of the 50 seasons, then August with 9.

What is the safest time to visit Antigua in hurricane season?

Within the season, June: no storm came within 100 miles in any of the 50 seasons. Outside June 1 to November 30, no storm came near at all.

How these numbers are made

From NOAA’s best tracks (HURDAT2), every storm’s centre is followed hour by hour and measured against each place; a season counts once it had a tropical storm or hurricane within 100 miles (or 50) on at least one day. It is history, not a forecast: for a storm that exists today, read the National Hurricane Center.

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